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Home > Publications > PISM Spotlights

PISM Spotlights

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Editors: Sławomir Dębski (PISM Director), Bartosz Wiśniewski (Head of Research Office), Rafał Tarnogórski (Managing Editor), Karolina Borońska-Hryniewiecka, Anna Maria Dyner, Aleksandra Gawlikowska-Fyk, Sebastian Płóciennik, Patrycja Sasnal, Justyna Szczudlik, Marcin Terlikowski, Tomasz Żornaczuk

 
21 July 2017
no. 42/2017
PISM Spotlight: V4+Israel Summit in Budapest

On 19 July, the prime ministers of the Visegrad Group (V4) met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Budapest. The meeting confirmed the potential for cooperation between the countries, but the wider perception of it may have been affected by sharp comments Netanyahu made about the EU at a closed-door meeting of the prime ministers that became public.


Michał Wojnarowicz, Łukasz Ogrodnik
17 July 2017
no. 41/2017
PISM Spotlight: Visit of Duke and Duchess of Cambridge to Poland

On July 17–19, Prince William and Princess Catherine, the Duke and Duchess of Cambridge, will pay an official visit to Poland, visiting Warsaw, Gdańsk and Sztutowo (Stuthoff) as part of their European journey. During the visit, they will pay tribute to the victims of totalitarianism, and then move on to Germany, where they intend to visit the Monument to the Murdered Jews of Europe in Berlin.

Łukasz Jasina
14 July 2017
no. 40/2017
PISM Spotlight: 19th EU-Ukraine Summit

On 12-13 July, the 19th EU-Ukraine Summit took place in Kyiv. The meeting was important given the recently completed ratification of the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement (AA), as well as the start of visa-free travel for citizens of Ukraine. However, it once again confirmed the differences between the EU and Ukraine when it comes to the future of their relations.


Daniel Szeligowski
14 July 2017
no. 39/2017
PISM Spotlight: Political Agreement on a Free Trade Area between EU and Japan

The European Union and Japan on 6 July signed a political agreement on an economic partnership. It does not mean the conclusion of talks, but it supports the negotiating process and puts pressure on other trade partners, especially the United States.

Marek Wąsiński, Damian Wnukowski
11 July 2017
no. 38/2017
PISM Spotlight: Trump-Putin Meeting in Hamburg

The first meeting between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin as leaders of their respective countries took place on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Hamburg on 7 July. The course and reported outcome of the meeting show that the Trump administration faces difficulty in establishing even limited cooperation with Russia, mainly because of internal pressure in the U.S. Russia cannot count on achieving its most important goal—the abolition of sanctions.


Anna Maria Dyner
11 July 2017
no. 37/2017
PISM Spotlight: G20 Summit in Hamburg: Disputes with the U.S. on Climate and Trade

The G20 Summit in Hamburg on 7-8 July showed the divisions between the U.S. and the other members on such important issues as climate protection and international trade. It also confirmed the enlargement of the G20 agenda, which besides traditional economic topics embraces such issues as fighting terrorism and migration.



Damian Wnukowski
07 July 2017
no. 36/2017
PISM Spotlight: President Trump’s Foreign Policy Speech in Warsaw

Trump used the opportunity of his visit to Poland (6 July) to give his most important foreign policy address since taking office—and the first one outside of the United States. The speech helped dissipate some doubts surrounding the substance of U.S. foreign policy. Still, the country’s policymaking process is marked by internal tensions.



Bartosz Wiśniewski
30 June 2017
no. 35/2017
PISM Spotlight: U.S., South Korea in Talks about Stability of Korean Peninsula

Developments on the Korean Peninsula have dominated the talks between the presidents of the United States and South Korea in Washington on 29–30 June. The degree of distrust and difference in mutual expectations between the U.S. and North Korea makes de-escalation of tensions in the region unlikely.

Bartosz Wiśniewski
29 June 2017
no. 34/2017
PISM Spotlight: European Commission on the Future of EU Finances

On 26 June, the European Commission published the fifth and last reflection paper accompanying a “White Paper on the Future of Europe” published in March this year. In its reflection paper, the EC presented five scenarios for the EU budget in line with the options outlined in the white paper.

Patryk Toporowski
29 June 2017
no. 33/2017
PISM Spotlight: 12th Summit of the Pacific Alliance

On 29–30 June, Cali, Colombia, will play host to the 12th Summit of the Pacific Alliance, a regional bloc composed of Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru. For Poland, an observer country since July 2015, the cooperation with the grouping is one of its main areas of engagement in Latin America.

Bartłomiej Znojek
29 June 2017
no. 32/2017
PISM Spotlight: U.S.-India Partnership Strengthened after Trump-Modi Meeting

Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi paid an official visit to the U.S. on 25–26 June. It was aimed at a renewal of the India-U.S. strategic partnership. Modi’s first meeting with American President Donald Trump exceeded expectations and prepared the groundwork for stronger cooperation in the future. 

Patryk Kugiel
28 June 2017
no. 31/2017
PISM Spotlight: PESCO: The EU Deepens Defence Integration
Following a period of stagnation, defence integration in the EU is gaining speed. At the beginning of June, the European Commission launched the European Defence Fund to co-finance development of defence technologies and military capabilities in the EU. At the European Summit on 22 June, the European Council (EUCO) decided to allow a group of willing states to establish a defence core in the Union.

Marcin Terlikowski
24 June 2017
no. 30/2017
PISM Spotlight: Interview with Macron Shows He Seeks Further Integration of the Eurozone and Expects Difficult Relations with the Visegrad Group

In an interview with Emmanuel Macron published on 21 June in eight large European journals—Le Soir, Le Temps, Le Figaro, The Guardian, Corriere della Sera, El País, Süddeutsche Zeitung, and Gazeta Wyborcza—the French president criticised some Central European countries, including Poland, for violating EU rules and threatened they would “bear all the political consequences.”

Łukasz Jurczyszyn
21 June 2017
no. 29/2017
PISM Spotlight: Presidents Donald Trump and Petro Poroshenko Meet

On 19–20 June, Ukraine President Petro Poroshenko paid a working visit to the United States, where he met with U.S. President Donald Trump.

Daniel Szeligowski
21 June 2017
no. 28/2017
PISM Spotlight: Meeting of Prime Ministers of the Visegrad Group and Benelux

On 19 June, prime ministers of the Visegrad Group and Benelux met in Warsaw. Also, Poland symbolically handed over the V4 presidency to Hungary, which will officially begin its role on 1 July.

Łukasz Ogrodnik
20 June 2017
no. 27/2017
PISM Spotlight: President Macron’s Party Triumphs in Parliamentary Elections

With historically low turnout (42.6%), the presidential alliance of La République en Marche! (LRM) and Democratic Movement (MoD) won the parliamentary elections in France, winning 350 of the 577 seats. The centre-right Republicans Party (LR) took 130 seats, becoming the main opposition group. Following them were the Socialist Party (PS, 34), the alliance of the party Unsubmissive France and the French Communist Party (27), and then National Front (FN, 8).

Łukasz Jurczyszyn
12 June 2017
no. 26/2017
PISM Spotlight: European Defence Fund: Financial Support for the EU Defence Industry

The launch of the European Defence Fund is a ground-breaking decision. For the first time, money from the EU budget will be used to directly finance research into new defence technologies and support Member States in developing military capabilities. The goal of the fund is to build EU strategic autonomy and deepen European integration in security and defence policy.

Marcin Terlikowski
12 June 2017
no. 25/2017
PISM Spotlight: Tories Lose Their Absolute Majority in UK General Election

The Conservative Party has won the snap general election in the UK, but lost the absolute majority in the House of Commons it has enjoyed since 2015. Prime Minister Theresa May needs Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) support to form a new government.

Jolanta Szymańska
09 June 2017
no. 24/2017
PISM Spotlight: Poland to Host Trump

U.S. President Donald Trump will visit Poland in early July. The visit will strengthen the new U.S. administration’s relations with allies in Central Europe, especially in the economic realm prioritised by Trump.

Bartosz Wiśniewski
08 June 2017
no. 23/2017
PISM Spotlight: U.S. LNG Delivery to Poland
The delivery of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States to Poland, scheduled for 8 June, has no precedent. Natural gas shipped from the Sabine Pass liquefaction facility in the Gulf of Mexico—so far, the sole LNG exporting facility in the United States since the start of the “shale revolution”—will reach Central Europe for the first time. The delivery testifies to the positive trends on the global LNG market for a country like Poland. 

Bartosz Wiśniewski
06 June 2017
no. 22/2017
PISM Spotlight: Arab Diplomatic Crisis

On 5 June, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, United Arab Emirates and Bahrain severed diplomatic relations with Qatar. The move serves Saudi Arabia in consolidating its leadership of an anti-Iranian alliance of Arab countries.

Patrycja Sasnal
02 June 2017
no. 21/2017
PISM Spotlight: Poland Elected as Non-Permanent Member of the UN Security Council

On 2 June, Poland was elected for the sixth time by the UN General Assembly as a non-permanent member of the Security Council. The two-year term will start on 1 January 2018. It will be Poland’s second term since the start of its modern democratic transition in 1989 (it first sat on the Council in 1996–1997).

Rafał Tarnogórski
02 June 2017
no. 20/2017
PISM Spotlight: U.S. Announces Withdrawal from Paris Climate Agreement

On 1 June, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the U.S. will withdraw from the Paris climate agreement. It will take at least three years to complete. In the meantime, Trump said the U.S. will seek to re-negotiate the Paris accord or strike a new agreement. Even if the U.S. fully pulls out, the Paris agreement will remain in force, but international efforts to limit climate change will be less effective.

Marek Wąsiński
02 June 2017
no. 19/2017
PISM Spotlight: EU-China Summit: Taking Advantage of the “Trump Effect”?

The upcoming EU-China summit (1–2 July) will be overwhelmed by concerns over U.S. President Donald Trump’s protectionism. The need to speed up the talks on a bilateral investment treaty (BIT) and more dynamic cooperation on China’s “Belt and Road” initiative cannot be excluded. 

Marcin Przychodniak
01 June 2017
no. 18/2018
PISM Spotlight: Stockholm Arbitration Tribunal Ruling in Gazprom-Naftogaz Case

On 31 May, a Stockholm arbitration tribunal rejected a multi-billion-dollar claim by Gazprom against Naftogaz for breach of a gas-supply contract. This is just the first ruling of the tribunal in this case, but it may have crucial financial and political consequences for both Naftogaz and Gazprom.

Bartosz Bieliszczuk, Aleksandra Gawlikowska-Fyk
01 June 2017
no. 17/2017
PISM Spotlight: Eurozone Reform: European Commission’s Vision

At the end of May, the European Commission presented proposals for reform of the economic and monetary union. That sets the next stage in the discussion on the future of integration that was launched before the jubilee summit in Rome with the publication of integration scenarios. The Commission’s proposals are very general but have a clear political message: the eurozone crisis is over and it’s time to finalise integration in this area.

Sebastian Płóciennik
26 May 2017
no. 16/2017
PISM Spotlight: NATO Special Meeting in Brussels

A special meeting of NATO heads of state and government on 25 May was the first opportunity for discussion as a group with new U.S. President Donald Trump. The meeting did not dispel concerns about the U.S. commitment to Europe but confirmed the new administration’s priority is to push the European Allies into sharing more of the financial burden.


Artur Kacprzyk
22 May 2017
no. 15/2017
PISM Spotlight: President Trump's Visit to Israel

On 22-23 May, U.S. President Donald Trump will visit Israel. His visit is meant to portray his administration as more willing to consider Israel's strategic interests than did President Barack Obama's.

Michał Wojnarowicz
22 May 2017
no. 14/2017
PISM Spotlight: Donald Trump’s visit to Saudi Arabia

U.S. President Donald Trump’s first foreign trip began in Saudi Arabia. The trip is intended to project a change in U.S. policy in the Middle East. 


Patrycja Sasnal
18 May 2017
no. 13/2017
PISM Spotlight: Iranian Presidential Elections

Presidential elections in Iran will be held on 19 May. The strongest candidates are Hassan Rouhani, Iran’s current president, and Ebrahim Raisi, who is said to be a favourite of Iran’s Supreme Leader, the Ayatollah Khamenei.


Karol Wasilewski
16 May 2017
no. 12/2017
PISM Spotlight: Campaign for the Bundestag after the Local Elections in North Rhine-Westphalia

The North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW) election saw CDU win with 33% support, ahead of the now-ruling SPD, which took 31.5% of the vote. The third force in the local parliament will be the liberals from FDP, who received 12.5%. Because of the importance of this state, the outcome sets the stage for the Bundestag elections in September.

Miłosława Fijałkowska
13 May 2017
no. 11/2017
PISM Spotlight: “Belt and Road” Forum: China’s Political Offensive

The “Belt and Road” forum will take place on 14–15 May in Beijing. Twenty-nine world leaders will attend, including Poland Prime Minister Beata Szydło. China has focused enormous attention on this event.

Marcin Przychodniak
11 May 2017
no. 10/2017
PISM Spotlight: South Korea’s Foreign Policy under New President


South Korea’s centre-left candidate from the Democratic Party, Moon Jae-in, won the presidential elections on 9 May, ending a political crisis that had lasted several months and culminated in the impeachment of President Park Geun-hye. Moon proposes greater openness to North Korea, firmness in relations with the U.S., and better ties with China. 


Justyna Szczudlik
07 May 2017
no. 9/2017
PISM Spotlight: Emmanuel Macron is France’s Next President

Emmanuel Macron won the race for the French presidency on Sunday, collecting 66.06% of the popular vote. Macron’s rival, the leader of the far-right National Front (FN), Marine Le Pen, picked up 33.94% of the vote. The turnout exceeded 74%.


Łukasz Jurczyszyn
02 May 2017
no. 8/2017
PISM Spotlight: Chancellor Merkel Goes to Russia

On May 2, German chancellor Angela Merkel will be paying a working visit to the Russian town of Sochi. It is the first such visit to Russia by the head of the German federal government since 2013.


Anna Dyner
29 April 2017
no. 7/2017
PISM Spotlight: Pope Francis Visits Egypt

On 28–29 April, Pope Francis paid a visit to Egypt, the most populous Arab country. The visit is significant for the Christian-Muslim dialogue.


Patrycja Sasnal
24 April 2017
no. 6/2017
PISM Spotlight: Macron Leads in French Presidential Election

Emmanuel Macron won the first round of the French presidential election, gaining 23.86% of the vote. In the second round, he will face Marine Le Pen, the leader of the National Front party (21.43%). With a surprisingly high electoral turnout (76.2%), conservative candidate François Fillon took 19.9% of vote, and far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon got 19.6%. Only the top two go through to the second round.

Łukasz Jurczyszyn
21 April 2017
no. 5/2017
PISM Spotlight: ICJ Order on Provisional Measures against Russia

On 19 April, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) delivered its first Order in a case submitted by Ukraine concerning the application of the International Convention for the Suppression of the Financing of Terrorism and of the International Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial Discrimination.

Rafał Tarnogórski
20 April 2017
no. 4/2017
PISM Spotlight: UK Snap General Election

On 18 April, UK Prime Minister Theresa May announced a snap parliamentary election and a day later, the House of Commons approved the proposal. The British go to the polls on 8 June.

Jolanta Szymańska
18 April 2017
no. 3/2017
PISM Spotlight: Constitutional Referendum in Turkey

On 16 April, Turks in favour of a constitutional change to a strong-president system carried 51.4% of the announced vote. The opposition is demanding the annulment of the referendum result, claiming it was rigged.

Karol Wasilewski
11 April 2017
no. 2/2017
PISM Spotlight: Increasing Support for the Far-Left Candidate in the Presidential Election in France


According to the latest polls, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the far-left candidate of the party Unsubmissive France (La France insoumise), has a chance of reaching the second round of the elections, where he would face either far-right candidate Marine Le Pen or more centrist Emmanuel Macron. Mélenchon recorded the largest increase in support in the period, from 12% to 18% in one month.



Łukasz Jurczyszyn
07 April 2017
no. 1/2017
PISM Spotlight: The U.S. Strike on the Syrian Base in Al-Shayrat

On 7 April, the United States attacked the Syrian air base in Al-Shayrat. Fifty-nine Tomahawk cruise missiles targeted military installations presumably used in the chemical attack on Khan Shaykhoun on 4 April.

Patrycja Sasnal

 


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