Arms Control Revisited: Non-proliferation and Denuclearization

W dniach 20-21 listopada 2008 r. w Warszawie odbyła się międzynarodowa konferencja zorganizowana przez Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych (PISM) przy współpracy Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) pt. "Arms Control Revisited: Non-proliferation and Denuclearization".

International Conference
Arms Control Revisited:
Non-proliferation and Denuclearization
Warsaw, 20–21 November, 2008
“Prymasowski” Palace
13/15 Senatorska Street

AGENDA

Thursday, 20th November 2008

14.00–14.45   Registration

14.45–15.30     

Opening of the Conference

Introductory remarks:

• Prof. Adam Daniel Rotfeld, Chairman of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters
• Dr. Bates Gill, Director of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)
• H.E. Sérgio de Queiroz Duarte, High Representative for Disarmament, United Nations

15.30–18.00     

Session 1: New Actors – New Risks

Moderator: Prof. Adam Daniel Rotfeld

Introductory speakers:

• H.E. Andrzej Olechowski (Former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Poland)
• Prof. George Perkovich (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, United States)
• Dr. Vladimir Yermakov (Director for Strategic Capabilities Policy, Department for Security Affairs and Disarmament, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Russia)

Discussants:

• H.E. Hu Xiaodi (former Ambassador for Disarmament Affairs, China)
• H.E. Jeremy Issacharoff (Deputy Chief of Mission, Embassy of Israel in the U.S., member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters)
• H.E. Dr. Mahmoud Karem (Ambassador of Egypt to Belgium, Luxembourg, European Union and NATO, member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters)
• Łukasz Kulesa (Polish Institute of International Affairs)

Issues under discussion:

• New security environment: new players – the emergence of new powers and non-state actors (state’s disintegration, failed and weak states)
• The new status and role of two global nuclear powers – Russia and the United States – in the arms control process
• India, Pakistan and Israel – military challenge for the political non-proliferation process
• Uncertainty and unpredictability as the elements of the new strategic context
• Terrorist organizations and the weapons of mass destruction: how to mitigate the threat?

Denuclearization in Practice: the Experience of Belarus and Ukraine

• Stanislau Shushkevich (former Head of the Belarusian State – Chairman of the Supreme Soviet from 1991 to 1994)
• H.E. Borys Tarasyuk (former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ukraine)

Open discussion

20.00 Dinner (by invitation)

Keynote speech: Prof. Steven Miller (Harvard University) The New Opening in Arms Control: Perspectives after the US Elections

Friday, 21st November 2008

9.30–12.00       

Session 2: New Weapons – New Threats

Moderator: Dr. Sławomir Dębski, director of the Polish Institute of International Affairs

Introductory speakers:

• Prof. Thérèse Delpech (Director of Strategic Affairs at the French Atomic Energy Commission)
• Prof. Sergey Rogov (Director of the Institute of United States of America and Canada, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Discussants:

• Air Commodore Khalid Banuri (Director, Arms Control and Disarmament Affairs, Strategic Plans Division, Joint Staff Headquarters, Pakistan)
• H.E. Jacek Bylica (Head of the NATO Weapons of Mass Destruction Centre)
• H.E. Ho Jin-Lee (Ambassador of the Republic of Korea to Finland, member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters)
• H.E. Adam Kobieracki (Director of the Department of Security Policy, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Poland)
• H.E. Carlo Trezza (Special Envoy of the Italian Minister of Foreign Affairs for Disarmament, Arms Control and Non Proliferation, member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters)
• H.E. Witold Waszczykowski  (Deputy Head, National Security Bureau, Poland)

Issues under discussion:

• New generation of nuclear weapons
• An urgent need for a dramatic reduction of nuclear weapon stockpiles
• Bio-security and the threat of bio-terror; ballistic and cruise missiles; missile defense
• Space-based weapons
• New instruments: Global Threat Reduction program, PSI, Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism
• How should compliance be monitored under new conditions

Open discussion

12.00–13.00   Lunch

Session 3: New Initiatives – New Instruments

Moderator: Dr. Bates Gill, Director of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Introductory speakers:

• Prof. James E. Goodby (Hoover Institution, Stanford University, member of the Bipartisan Security Group, United States)
• H.E. Peter Gottwald (Commissioner of the Federal Government for Arms Control and Disarmament, Germany)
• H.E. Valerie Grey (Deputy Permanent Representative, Australian Permanent Mission to the Conference on Disarmament, Geneva)

Discussants:

• H.E. Leslie M. Gumbi (Permanent Representative of South Africa to the UN and other international organizations in Vienna)
• H.E. Andrzej Towpik (Permanent Representative of Poland to the United Nations, New York)

Issues under discussion

• What has to be done to motivate states to engage in arms control
• New Initiatives: the Nuclear Threat Initiative (The “Hoover Plan” for Nuclear Disarmament), Australia-Japan  International Commission on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament
• The problem of ‘spoilers’: inclusive vs. confrontational approach
• How to react to cases of non-compliance?
• New type of confidence-building measures and verification
• How to adjust old institutions to new needs?
• What has to be done: new politically binding instruments, new institutions for new problems (institutional reform)

Open discussion

15.30–15.45   Coffee break

15.45–17.00     
Conclusions and recommendations

Roundtable discussion moderated by: Dr. Ian Anthony (SIPRI)

Participants of Conference 

1. Dr. Ian ANTHONY (UK)
   Leader of the SIPRI Non-proliferation and Export Control Project
2. Air Commodore Khalid BANURI (Pakistan)
   Director, Arms Control and Disarmament Affairs, Strategic Plans Division, Joint Staff Headquarters
3. H.E. Mr. Jacek BYLICA (NATO)
   Ambassador, Head of NATO Weapons of Mass Destruction Centre
4. Dr. Sławomir DĘBSKI (Poland)
   Director, PISM (Polish Institute of International Affairs)
5. Ms. Thérèse DELPECH (France)
   Director of Strategic Affairs at the French Atomic Energy Commission
6. H.E. Sérgio de Queiroz DUARTE (United Nations)
   High Representative for Disarmament, United Nations
7. Dr. Bates GILL (U.S.A)
   Director of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)
8. Prof. James E. GOODBY (U.S.A)
   Hoover Institution, Stanford University, member of the Bipartisan Security Group United States
9. H.E. Mr. Peter GOTTWALD (Germany)
   Commissioner of the Federal Government for Arms Control and Disarmament, Germany
10. H.E. Ms. Valerie GREY (Australia)
    Deputy Permanent Representative, Australian Permanent Mission to the Conference on Disarmament, Geneva
11. H.E. Mr. Leslie M. GUMBI (South Africa)
    Permanent Representative of South Africa to the UN and other international organizations in Vienna
12. Prof. Dr. Erwin HÄCKEL (Germany)
    Senior Research Fellow, German Society for Foreign Affairs (Forschungsinstitut der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik)
13. H.E. Mr. Hu Xiaodi (China)
    Former Ambassador for Disarmament Affairs of China
14. H.E. Mr. Jeremy ISSACHAROFF (Israel)
    Deputy Chief of Mission, Embassy of Israel in the U.S., member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters
15. H.E. Dr. Mahmoud KAREM (Egypt)
    Ambassador of Egypt to Belgium, Luxembourg, European Union and NATO, member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters
16.  H.E. Mr. Adam KOBIERACKI (Poland)
    Director of the Department of Security Policy, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland
17. Mr. Łukasz KULESA (Poland)
    Head of Research and Analyses Office PISM (Polish Institute of International Affairs)
18. Dr. Zdzisław LACHOWSKI (Poland)
    Senior Fellow at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) Euro-Atlantic Security Programme, Leader of the Conventional Arms Control Project in the Institute
19. H.E. Mr. Ho-Jin LEE (Republic of Korea)
    Ambassador of the Republic of Korea to Finland, member of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters
20. Prof. Steven E. MILLER (U.S.A)
    Harvard University
21. H.E. Dr. Jerzy M. NOWAK (Poland)
    Senior research fellow at Center for International Relations, former Ambassador of Poland to NATO 
22. Dr. Andrzej OLECHOWSKI (Poland)
    Former Minister of Foreign Affairs of Poland
23. Dr. Krzysztof PATUREJ (OPCW)
    Director, Office of Special Projects; The Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons
24. Prof. George PERKOVICH (U.S.A)
    Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
25. Mr. Grzegorz POZNAŃSKI (Poland)
    Director, Department of the Diplomatic Security Policy; Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland
26. Dr. Sergey ROGOV (Russia)
    Director of the Institute of United States of America and Canada, Russian Academy of Sciences
27. Prof. Adam Daniel ROTFELD (Chair)
    Chairman of the UN Secretary General’s Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters
28. Mr. Jacek SAWICZ (Poland)
    First Counsellor, Permanent Mission of the Republic of Poland to the United Nations Office and other International Organizations in Geneva
29. H.E. Prof. Stanislau SHUSHKEVICH (Belarus)
    Former Head of the Belarusian State – Chairman of the Supreme Soviet from 1991 to 1994
30. Dr. Bernard SITT (France)
    Director of CESIM (Center for International Security and Arms Control Studies)
31. Mr. Marek SZCZYGIEŁ (Poland)
    Deputy Director, Department of the Security Policy, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland
32. H.E. Mr. Borys TARASYUK (Ukraine)
    Chairman of the Foreign Committee of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, former Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine
33. H.E. Andrzej TOWPIK (Poland)
    Permanent Representative of Poland to the United Nations, New York
34. H.E. Mr. Carlo TREZZA (Italy)
    member of the UN Secretary General's Advisory Board on Disarmament Affairs, Director/Diplomatic Advisor at the Center for High Defense Studies, Ministry of Defense
35. H.E. Mr. Witold WASZCZYKOWSKI (Poland)
    Deputy Head of the Polish National Security Bureau, former Under-Secretary of State, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland
36. Dr. Vladimir YERMAKOV (Russia)
    Director for Strategic Capabilities Policy, Department for Security Affairs and Disarmament, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia
37. Mr. Jerzy ZALESKI (United Nations)
    Senior Political Affairs Officer, UN Department for Disarmament Affairs, Geneva
38. Mr. Łukasz ZIELIŃSKI (Poland)
    Department of the Security Policy; Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Poland