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Home > Publications > PISM Bulletin

PISM Bulletin

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Editors: Sławomir Dębski (PISM Director), Bartosz Wiśniewski (Head of Research Office), Rafał Tarnogórski (Managing Editor), Karolina Borońska-Hryniewiecka, Anna Maria Dyner, Aleksandra Gawlikowska-Fyk, Sebastian Płóciennik, Patrycja Sasnal, Justyna Szczudlik, Marcin Terlikowski, Tomasz Żornaczuk

 
20 October 2017
no. 99 (1039)
Romania’s European Policy

Delivering his State of the European Union speech, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker asked Romania, which will hold the presidency of the Council of the EU in 2019, to organise an extraordinary EU summit in Sibiu—the first one after the UK’s withdrawal if it proceeds according to schedule. He also appealed to the Member States for accept Romania in the Schengen area immediately. Increasingly, EU partners are seeking Romanian support at a time of debate on the Union’s future. Romania has avoided confrontation with the EU institutions and the bloc’s largest Member States, and has declared its intentions to join a mainstream of closer integration, while Poland—the regional point of reference in the Polish neighbourhood until recently—is not active on this issue.

Jakub Pieńkowski
18 October 2017
no. 98 (1038)
Natural Gas for the Transport Sector: Gazprom’s New Market

In the coming years, the popularity of natural gas as a road and maritime transport fuel is expected to grow. Gazprom recognises this trend and is investing not only in huge projects like Nord Stream 2 but also in small-scale LNG terminals (ssLNG), which allow smaller gas deliveries to consumers. Gazprom’s strategy to secure a stake in this market as a competitive supplier. Russia’s activity in this area will pose a challenge to Polish ports and could complicate Poland’s plans to more broadly use natural gas in its domestic transport sector.

Bartosz Bieliszczuk
13 October 2017
no. 97 (1037)
Prospects of Euro Adoption in Hungary

Hungary does not have a clearly defined position on the adoption of the euro. While the central bank opposes the quick introduction of the single currency, the government shows it is open to it, leaving room for manoeuvre in case of political consolidation of the eurozone. Such a scenario would probably induce the government to decide on euro adoption despite doubts about its economic benefits.

Veronika Jóźwiak
10 October 2017
no. 96 (1036)
ASEAN’s 50th Anniversary: An Opportunity for a New Opening in Economic Relations with Poland

This year, ASEAN celebrates its 50th anniversary. Established in 1967, the organisation has contributed to sustaining peace in Southeast Asia and to the rapid economic development of the region in recent decades. It is perceived as one of the most successful integration projects in Asia. Despite its rising economic position, ASEAN’s economic relations with Poland are unsatisfactory and do not tap the potential. Among the ways to improve the situation are to take advantage of progressive integration within the ASEAN Economic Community and to intensify efforts to promote Poland in the region.

Damian Wnukowski
09 October 2017
no. 95 (1035)
Trump’s Trade Policy: Protectionism Bluster

The Trump administration’s trade policy is mostly bluster. The declarations of withdrawal from international agreements or threats to introduce protectionist measures are meant to serve the U.S. president to achieve economic and political benefits. However, these threats are voiced too often, have become unreliable, and have had only limited effect. While America’s partners need to be prepared in case Trump’s declarations are enacted, the stability of the U.S. economy, the strength of its alliances, and pressure from business and politicians—including Republicans—reduce the likelihood they will be pursued.

Marek Wąsiński
05 October 2017
no. 94 (1034)
Prospects for a UN Peacekeeping Mission to Donbas

During the September United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), Russia and Ukraine each presented proposals for the deployment of a peacekeeping mission to Donbas. However, the differences between the two countries reduce the probability of reaching agreement on that issue. From Ukraine’s perspective, the mission should be deployed in all territory controlled by Russia and its goal should be the demilitarisation of Donbas. Russia, in proposing to send a peacekeeping mission to eastern Ukraine, hopes to return to the discussion of a new security architecture in Europe.

Anna Maria Dyner, Daniel Szeligowski
04 October 2017
no. 93 (1033)
The Importance of the UK’s Withdrawal Bill in the Brexit Negotiations with the EU
European Union (Withdrawal) Bill 2017–2018 is the highest-level UK government document concerning the legal and administrative dimension of Brexit. The legal importance of the bill is grounded in its designed influence on the UK legal system. Its political importance stems from the UK’s demonstrated readiness to leave the EU without a deal and from the polarisation of the country’s politics on the issue. In the background of the legislative works are UK government efforts to persuade its EU partners to open talks on the future model of the EU-UK relationship. 

Przemysław Biskup
03 October 2017
no. 92 (1032)
Russia’s Position on the North Korea Crisis

North Korea’s missile and nuclear tests destabilise the situation in the Asia-Pacific region and indirectly jeopardise the security of the Russian Federation. At the same time, Russia uses the tensions between the U.S. and North Korea to strengthen its international standing and further its rapprochement with China. Russia supports the Chinese proposals for a peaceful settlement of the situation with North Korea because it fears strengthening the U.S. military presence in the region.

Agnieszka Legucka
02 October 2017
no. 91 (1031)
The Local Government Dimension of Relations between Poland and Latin America
Poland’s interest in Latin America has been increasing in recent years, mainly in economic terms. Yet local government remains an underestimated tool in advancing these relations. Greater activity by Polish local authorities could help in developing business and academic ties with the region, and allow the exchange of experience in fields such as urban development and revitalisation. Geographical distance, lack of knowledge and financial constraints are the main reasons for Polish local authorities’ low interest in Latin America so far.

Adriana Skorupska, Bartłomiej Znojek

 


 
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