2019-10-11 - Bulletin

Przemysław Biskup

Brexit as a Tool in Boris Johnson's Political Strategy

Since assuming the post of UK prime minister on 24 July, Boris Johnson has been pursuing a high-risk political strategy to reshape the British party system. The key mean is the “do or die” commitment to Brexit on 31 October. Parliament’s adoption of the Letwin-Ben Act on 9 September prohibiting a “no-deal” exit from the EU has put Johnson on the defensive, but his success or failure will only be decided at the ballot box. A snap election, which is most likely to take place in December, will also strongly influence the vision of Britain’s international role.

2019-10-10 - Bulletin

Karol Wasilewski

Turkey's Operation in Northern Syria

Turkey has launched a military operation codenamed Peace Spring to establish a “safe zone” in northern Syria. It did so without the approval of the UN Security Council (UNSC), which will hold an emergency meeting to discuss it on 10 October. The increase in refugee flows through the Turkish-Greek border in recent months suggests that Turkey will be pressuring the EU to support the project.  

2019-10-09 - Bulletin

Patryk Kugiel, Veronika Jóźwiak

Prospects for Cooperation between the V4 States and India

The visits by Indian Minister for External Affairs Subrahmanyam Jaishankar to Hungary (26 August) and Poland (28-29 August) are a sign of increased interest in Central Europe (CE). The revival of political dialogue creates conditions for deepening economic cooperation between the countries of the region and India. Launching cooperation in the Visegrad Group (V4)+India format would give an opportunity to intensify contacts. This would increase the attractiveness of the Visegrad countries, make them more recognisable in India and reduce the asymmetry of these relations. 

2019-10-08 - Bulletin

Marta Makowska

The Future of European Industrial Policy

European Union Member States are pushing the European Commission (EC) to present a new EU industrial strategy by the end of this year. Germany and France have made the most specific proposals. They want a revision of antitrust policy, protection of the common market against unfair external competition, and financial support for new technologies. The implementation of this vision could enable the establishment of European “champions” capable of competing with global entities. According to critics, however, it will have a negative impact on competition within the EU, generating additional costs for consumers and businesses.

2019-10-07 - Bulletin

Łukasz Ogrodnik

Austria after Early Parliamentary Elections

On 29 September, the Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP) won the elections to the lower house of parliament, the National Council. Early elections were held after the collapse of the ÖVPFreedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) coalition in May. Sebastian Kurz’s return as chancellor means he will build his cabinet with the FPÖ, the Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ), or the Greens. A coalition with the latter, the most likely option, will translate into growing divergence in the EU forum between Austria and Poland, especially on climate policy.