2019-12-06 - Bulletin
Security Challenges in Relations between Poland and Belarus
The collapse of the security system in Europe as a result of Russia’s aggression against Ukraine has particularly affected Belarus. The country fears the growing tensions between Russia and NATO that have been exacerbated, among others, by the termination of the INF regime and the strengthening of both the Alliance’s Eastern Flank and Russia’s Western Military District. Although Poland and Belarus have partly different security interests that pose a challenge in bilateral relations, the countries have the potential to cooperate in this sphere.
2019-12-05 - Bulletin
Hungary's Policy toward Turkey
Strengthening relations with Turkey has for several years been one of the pillars of Hungary’s “Eastern Opening” policy. It has two goals: increasing the economic benefits of relations with non-EU countries and making Hungary distinct in EU politics. Hungary did not want to condemn Turkey’s military operation in Syria and blocked the adoption of a critical joint EU statement this October. It finds the Turkish intervention beneficial if it stops another wave of refugees arriving in the EU.
2019-12-04 - Bulletin
Trilateral Gas Talks on Future Russian Gas Transit via Ukraine
In September, after an eight-month beak, the trilateral gas talks between the European Commission (EC), Ukraine, and Russia resumed. The aim is to reach agreement on Russian gas transit via Ukraine to the EU before the current deal expires at the end of this year. The talks, however, did not reach a breakthrough. One of the challenges is that Ukraine still has not fully implemented EU energy rules, which comprise the basis for the future transit scheme. However, the main obstacle is Gazprom and the Russian authorities’ stance of using the negotiations as an opportunity to force Ukraine into concessions.
2019-12-03 - Bulletin
The Future of Brexit in the Light of the 2019 UK General Elections Campaign
The elections to the House of Commons on 12 December became necessary because of the political crisis and decision-making paralysis that has been intensifying in the UK for more than a year. Although the campaign is centred on Brexit, voters will also be influenced by how party manifestos relate to social, economic, and immigration issues. The outcome will also be affected by campaigning pacts concluded on an unprecedented scale by the parties. The stake of the election, both from the EU and the UK points of view, will determine whether the Brexit process accelerates or stalls.